Its mostly because I think Cam Newton is going to be a bust this year. He isn't coming close to rushing for 13 TD's again this year. They brought in Tolbert for a reason and have specifically have come out and said they don't want Cam running as much this year. He just isn't a skilled enough passer and makes too many mistakes at this point in his career. I mean he threw for over 250 yards only twice in the second half of last season.
And McCoy was the 2nd best RB in our league last year, even with it not being PPR. |
I understand McCoy's value regardless of scoring system, as I was uneasy about holding him in my own non PPR keeper league last year but was delighted with 17 rushing TDs. But from a rushing standpoint, 2011 is going to go down as his best year. 270 carries and 17 TDs again? I think 245/10 is way more like it. Philly added 2 rookies (Polk, Brown) because Ronnie Brown was abysmal last year and they don't want to overwork McCoy more than they need to.
With Cam Newton, I think it's important to keep in mind that his stratospheric rise was enhanced even more because so many people thought he was a bust to begin with and shouldn't have been the 1st overall pick. If Luck were to do something similar this year (astronomical rushing stats aside) it would be a blessing, but not shocking, considering he has been dubbed the best QB prospect to come out in a long time. So here we are in Year 2 and it's just as sheik to call out his decline as it was to call out his bust label last year. The fact is that he's an incredibly unique talent the likes of which quite simply have not been seen before. He's got the rushing ability of Vick but the body to handle it. That's the key point here. With Vick you tense up watching him try to pick his way through a defense, and god forbid he jumps a pile for the TD. With Cam, he IS the pile. It would be dumb to assume he'll get to or even improve his rushing totals from last year, but is 600 yards and 10 TDs
really a stretch? I don't feel it is.
I wouldn't read as much into Tolbert either. The price was right and he wanted to come back to the area. Carolina ultimately wants to control the ball on the ground and they'll lose either JStew or DWill next year.